2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NYJ @ DEN – Week 7 2022
NYJ
DEN
NYJ
AWAY
16@9
NYJ +7
FINAL · WEEK 7
2022 SEASON
DEN
HOME
TIER B
PICK: NYJ
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: NYJ 62%Projected margin: -2.4
NYJ
PICK SIDE
-2.0
SPREAD
-2.4
PROJ MARGIN
-133
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
NYJ B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked NYJ. Projected margin: 2.4. Actual: 7. Off by 4.6 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 11 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 5.0 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -2.0 | NYJ market line | |
| MODEL ML | -133 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -127 | Won · +$0.75 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NYJ
Home Underdog 2-3 ATS (40%)
DEN
No noteworthy trends
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
NYJ
Garrett Wilson
WR
215.7SEASON PPR
Tyler Conklin
TE
131.5SEASON PPR
Michael Carter
RB
126.0SEASON PPR
DEN
Russell Wilson
QB
225.8SEASON PPR
Jerry Jeudy
WR
204.2SEASON PPR
Courtland Sutton
INJURY REPORTWEEK 7
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN@NYJW6 2025 | DEN 13, NYJ 11 | DEN | W |
| DEN@NYJW4 2024 | DEN 10, NYJ 9 | NYJ | L |
| NYJ@DENW5 2023 | NYJ 31, DEN 21 | DEN | L |
| NYJ@DENW3 2021 | NYJ 0, DEN 26 | DEN | W |
| DEN@NYJW4 2020 | DEN 37, NYJ 28 | DEN | W |
WEEK 7 · OTHER GAMES