2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
ATL @ CIN – Week 7 2022
ATL
CIN
ATL
AWAY
17@35
CIN +18
FINAL · WEEK 7
2022 SEASON
CIN
HOME
TIER C
PICK: CIN
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: CIN 58%Projected margin: 1.4
CIN
PICK SIDE
-6.5
SPREAD
1.4
PROJ MARGIN
-255
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
CIN C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked CIN. Projected margin: 1.4. Actual: 18. Off by 16.6 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 11.5 points.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -6.5 | CIN market line | |
| MODEL ML | -255 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -271 | Won · +$0.39 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
ATL
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Home Underdog 3-2 ATS (60%)
CIN
Road Favorite 6-2 ATS (75%)Divisional 3-2 ATS (60%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
ATL
Marcus Mariota
QB
196.6SEASON PPR
Drake London
WR
178.6SEASON PPR
Tyler Allgeier
RB
159.4SEASON PPR
CIN
Joe Burrow
QB
350.7SEASON PPR
Ja'Marr Chase
WR
242.4SEASON PPR
Joe Mixon
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 7
WEEK 7 · OTHER GAMES