2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
GB @ WAS – Week 7 2022
GB
WAS
GB
AWAY
21@23
WAS +2
FINAL · WEEK 7
2022 SEASON
WAS
HOME
TIER B
PICK: GB
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: GB 70%Projected margin: -5.2
GB
PICK SIDE
-4.0
SPREAD
-5.2
PROJ MARGIN
-178
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
GB B-tier pick misses. WAS takes it.
MISSED
Model picked GB but WAS won. Projected margin was 5.2 -- the model overestimated by 7.2 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 4 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 6.0 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -4.0 | GB market line | |
| MODEL ML | -178 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -195 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
GB
No noteworthy trends
WAS
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
GB
Aaron Jones
RB
248.6SEASON PPR
Aaron Rodgers
QB
239.2SEASON PPR
Allen Lazard
WR
174.8SEASON PPR
WAS
Terry McLaurin
WR
229.0SEASON PPR
Curtis Samuel
WR
176.3SEASON PPR
Antonio Gibson
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 7
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| WAS@GBW2 2025 | WAS 18, GB 27 | GB | W |
| WAS@GBW7 2021 | WAS 10, GB 24 | GB | W |
WEEK 7 · OTHER GAMES