Seahawks vs Chargers – Week 7 2022
SEA
LAC
SEA
AWAY
37@23
SEA BY 14
FINAL · WEEK 7
2022 SEASON
SoFi Stadium · Inglewood, CA
LAC
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: Seattle Seahawks 37, Los Angeles Chargers 23.
Going in, our model had favored Los Angeles Chargers at 61% win probability, and the pick lost.
Out or doubtful: 4 Seahawks, 4 Chargers.
Model confidence: LAC 61%Our line: LAC -3.6
ODDS
SPREAD
LAC -5.5
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
LAC -3.6
OUR LINE
MISSED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
LAC · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
61%
TEAM COMPARISON2022 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 7
-0.023Net EPA / play+0.001
-0.003 (18)Offense EPA / play+0.007 (13)
+0.020 (25)Defense EPA / play+0.006 (19)
44.2% (17)Offense success %44.1% (18)
GAME NARRATIVE
LAC B-tier pick misses. SEA takes it.
MISSED
Model picked LAC but SEA won. Projected margin was 3.6, the model overestimated by 17.6 points.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 19.5 points.
DRAMATIC
The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
SEA
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
LAC
Road Favorite 4-1 ATS (80%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
LAC
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2022 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
INJURY REPORTWEEK 7
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETING
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAC@SEAW4 2026 | LAC 23, SEA 30 | SEA | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 7 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSSEA vs LAC
Our model takes Los Angeles Chargers at 61% win probability, a Tier B pick. The margin models project LAC by 3.6. The market has LAC at -5.5.
Seattle Seahawks won, SEA 37, LAC 23. Our model had favored Los Angeles Chargers at 61% win probability, and the pick lost.
The market has Los Angeles Chargers at -5.5, meaning the book expects Los Angeles Chargers to win by 5.5 points.
In Week 7, the Seattle Seahawks were without 4 players (Out or Doubtful) and the Los Angeles Chargers were without 4 players (Out or Doubtful).
Sportsbooks have this game at 51.5 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 46.7, 4.8 below the market.
Week 7 of the 2022 season, SUN 4:25 PM.
Seattle Seahawks, LAC 23, SEA 30 in Week 4 of 2026.
By net EPA per play over the 2022 season, Los Angeles Chargers: SEA -0.023 against LAC +0.001.
