2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
SEA @ LAC – Week 7 2022
SEA
LAC
SEA
AWAY
37@23
SEA +14
FINAL · WEEK 7
2022 SEASON
LAC
HOME
TIER B
PICK: LAC
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: LAC 61%Projected margin: 2.4
LAC
PICK SIDE
-5.5
SPREAD
2.4
PROJ MARGIN
-221
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
LAC B-tier pick misses. SEA takes it.
MISSED
Model picked LAC but SEA won. Projected margin was 2.4 -- the model overestimated by 16.4 points.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 19.5 points.
DRAMATIC
The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -5.5 | LAC market line | |
| MODEL ML | -221 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -219 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
SEA
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
LAC
Road Favorite 4-1 ATS (80%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
SEA
Geno Smith
QB
303.9SEASON PPR
Tyler Lockett
WR
239.3SEASON PPR
DK Metcalf
WR
226.8SEASON PPR
LAC
Austin Ekeler
RB
372.7SEASON PPR
Justin Herbert
QB
281.3SEASON PPR
Mike Williams
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 7
WEEK 7 · OTHER GAMES