2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
DAL @ DET – Week 14 2025
DAL
DET
DAL
AWAY
30@44
DET +14
FINAL · WEEK 14
2025 SEASON
DET
HOME
TIER C
PICK: DET
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: DET 64%Projected margin: 2.6
DET
PICK SIDE
-3.5
SPREAD
2.6
PROJ MARGIN
-165
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
DET C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked DET. Projected margin: 2.6. Actual: 14. Off by 11.4 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 10.5 points.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -3.5 | DET market line | |
| MODEL ML | -165 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | — | Won · +$0.61 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
DAL
Road Favorite 1-4 ATS (20%)
DET
Primetime 3-2 ATS (60%)Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
DAL
D.Prescott
QB
313.8SEASON PPR
G.Pickens
WR
291.9SEASON PPR
J.Williams
RB
242.8SEASON PPR
DET
J.Gibbs
RB
366.9SEASON PPR
A.St. Brown
WR
324.0SEASON PPR
J.Goff
QB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 14
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| DET@DALW6 2024 | DET 47, DAL 9 | DET | W |
| DET@DALW17 2023 | DET 19, DAL 20 | DET | L |
| DET@DALW7 2022 | DET 6, DAL 24 | DAL | W |
WEEK 14 · OTHER GAMES