2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
LA @ NYG – Week 17 2023
LA
NYG
LA
AWAY
26@25
LA +1
FINAL · WEEK 17
2023 SEASON
NYG
HOME
TIER A
PICK: LA
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: LA 72%Projected margin: -6.0
LA
PICK SIDE
-6.0
SPREAD
-6.0
PROJ MARGIN
-237
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
LA A-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked LA. Projected margin: 6.0. Actual: 1. Off by 5.0 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 7 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 5.0 points.
Another data point for the model. A-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -6.0 | LA market line | |
| MODEL ML | -237 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -298 | Won · +$0.42 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
LA
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)
NYG
Home Underdog 5-2 ATS (71%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
41°F
WIND
10 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
LA
Puka Nacua
WR
298.5SEASON PPR
Kyren Williams
RB
255.0SEASON PPR
Matthew Stafford
QB
243.1SEASON PPR
NYG
Saquon Barkley
RB
223.2SEASON PPR
Darius Slayton
WR
151.0SEASON PPR
Wan'Dale Robinson
INJURY REPORTWEEK 17
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| LA@NYGW6 2021 | LA 38, NYG 11 | LA | W |
| NYG@LAW4 2020 | NYG 9, LA 17 | LA | W |
WEEK 17 · OTHER GAMES