NYG @ LA – Week 2 2026
NYG
LA
NYG
AWAY
@
MON 8:15 PM
WEEK 2 · 2026 SEASON
LA
HOME
OUR PICK
Model confidence: LA 80%Projected margin: -10.4
LA
PICK SIDE
-8.5
SPREAD
-10.4
PROJ MARGIN
-340
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
-0.075Net EPA / play+0.206
+0.012Offense EPA / play+0.145
+0.087Defense EPA / play-0.061
42.1%Offense success %51.8%
47.0%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
GAME NARRATIVE
S-tier pick on LA at 80% confidence.
EPA EDGE
LA generates 0.145 EPA/play on offense. NYG's defense allows 0.087. That's a top-tier efficiency gap.
S-TIER
S-tier. Only the most extreme edges earn this grade. Historically NoPunt's highest hit-rate tier.
HIGH CONVICTION
LA is one of the model's highest-conviction calls. Its strongest calls hit at a significantly higher rate.
AGGRESSIVE 4TH
LA goes for it on 4th down 29% of the time -- among the most aggressive in the NFL.
RED ZONE
LA converts 91% in the red zone vs 73% for NYG. That efficiency gap matters in close games.
Multiple signals align in LA's favor. One of the cleaner setups on the slate.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -8.5 | LA market line | |
| MODEL ML | -340 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML |
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
NYG
J.Dart
QB
241.6SEASON PPR
W.Robinson
WR
217.9SEASON PPR
T.Tracy
RB
160.8SEASON PPR
LA
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
New York GiantsPASSING
J.Dart2272 yd · 15 TD · 5 INT
RUSHING
T.Tracy740 yd · 2 TD
J.Dart487 yd · 9 TD
D.Singletary437 yd · 5 TD
RECEIVING
W.Robinson92 rec · 1014 yd · 4 TD
D.Slayton37 rec · 538 yd · 1 TD
T.Johnson45 rec · 528 yd · 5 TD
T.Tracy36 rec · 288 yd · 2 TD
VS
2,272PASSyds4,707
1,664RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| LA@NYGW17 2023 | LA 26, NYG 25 | LA | W |
| LA@NYGW6 2021 | LA 38, NYG 11 | LA | W |
| NYG@LAW4 2020 | NYG 9, LA 17 | LA | W |
COMMON QUESTIONSNYG vs LA
Who is favored in New York Giants at Los Angeles Rams?
Our model takes Los Angeles Rams at 80% win probability, a Tier S pick. The margin models project LA by 10.4. The market has LA at -8.5.
When do the New York Giants and Los Angeles Rams play?
Week 2 of the 2026 season, MON 8:15 PM.
Who won the last New York Giants vs Los Angeles Rams game?
Los Angeles Rams, 26-25 in Week 17 of 2023.
Which team has been better, the New York Giants or the Los Angeles Rams?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Los Angeles Rams: NYG -0.075 against LA +0.206.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
