Saints vs Ravens – Week 2 2026
NO
BAL
NO
AWAY
24@17
NO BY 7
FINAL · WEEK 2
2026 SEASON
M&T Bank Stadium · Baltimore, MD
BAL
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: New Orleans Saints 24, Baltimore Ravens 17.
Going in, our model had favored Baltimore Ravens at 70% win probability, and the pick lost.
Out or doubtful: 2 Saints, 4 Ravens.
Model confidence: BAL 70%Our line: BAL -6.9
ODDS
SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON2026 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 2
-0.148Net EPA / play+0.168
-0.054 (23)Offense EPA / play+0.151 (5)
+0.094 (26)Defense EPA / play-0.017 (16)
43.1% (15)Offense success %50.7% (2)
GAME NARRATIVE
BAL B-tier pick misses. NO takes it.
MISSED
Model picked BAL but NO won. Projected margin was 6.9, the model overestimated by 13.9 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 5 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 15.5 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
79°F
WIND
10 MPH
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
CLOSING LINE VALUE
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2026 SEASON
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2026 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
INJURY REPORTWEEK 2
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETING
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAL@NOW9 2022 | BAL 27, NO 13 | BAL | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 2 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSNO vs BAL
Our model takes Baltimore Ravens at 70% win probability, a Tier B pick. The margin models project BAL by 6.9. The market has BAL at -8.5.
New Orleans Saints won, NO 24, BAL 17. Our model had favored Baltimore Ravens at 70% win probability, and the pick lost.
The market has Baltimore Ravens at -8.5, meaning the book expects Baltimore Ravens to win by 8.5 points.
In Week 2, the New Orleans Saints were without 2 players (Out or Doubtful) and the Baltimore Ravens were without 4 players (Out or Doubtful).
Sportsbooks have this game at 46.5 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 46.9, 0.4 above the market, which our board calls an push.
Week 2 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Baltimore Ravens, BAL 27, NO 13 in Week 9 of 2022.
By net EPA per play over the 2026 season, Baltimore Ravens: NO -0.148 against BAL +0.168.
