GB @ NYJ – Week 2 2026
GB
NYJ
GB
AWAY
OUR PICK
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 2 · 2026 SEASON
NYJ
HOME
Model confidence: GB 70%Projected margin: -4.4
GB
PICK SIDE
-5.5
SPREAD
-4.4
PROJ MARGIN
-221
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
+0.082Net EPA / play-0.274
+0.115Offense EPA / play-0.127
+0.033Defense EPA / play+0.147
47.7%Offense success %40.7%
44.8%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
GAME NARRATIVE
GB backed by epa edge at 70%.
EPA EDGE
GB generates 0.115 EPA/play on offense. NYJ's defense allows 0.147. That's a top-tier efficiency gap.
HIGH CONVICTION
GB is one of the model's highest-conviction calls. Its strongest calls hit at a significantly higher rate.
DRIVE EFF
GB scores 2.0 points per drive vs 1.0 for NYJ. That's a substantial offensive rhythm gap.
Multiple signals align in GB's favor. One of the cleaner setups on the slate.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -5.5 | GB market line | |
| MODEL ML | -221 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML |
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
GB
J.Jacobs
RB
237.1SEASON PPR
J.Love
QB
235.1SEASON PPR
R.Doubs
WR
165.4SEASON PPR
NYJ
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Green Bay PackersPASSING
J.Love3381 yd · 23 TD · 6 INT
RUSHING
J.Jacobs929 yd · 13 TD
E.Wilson496 yd · 3 TD
J.Love199 yd · 0 TD
RECEIVING
R.Doubs55 rec · 724 yd · 6 TD
C.Watson35 rec · 611 yd · 6 TD
T.Kraft32 rec · 489 yd · 6 TD
M.Golden29 rec · 361 yd · 0 TD
VS
3,381PASSyds1,259
1,624RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYJ@GBW6 2022 | NYJ 27, GB 10 | GB | L |
COMMON QUESTIONSGB vs NYJ
Who is favored in Green Bay Packers at New York Jets?
Our model takes Green Bay Packers at 70% win probability, a Tier B pick. The margin models project GB by 4.4. The market has GB at -5.5.
When do the Green Bay Packers and New York Jets play?
Week 2 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Who won the last Green Bay Packers vs New York Jets game?
New York Jets, 27-10 in Week 6 of 2022.
Which team has been better, the Green Bay Packers or the New York Jets?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Green Bay Packers: GB +0.082 against NYJ -0.274.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
