2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
SF @ WAS – Week 17 2023
SF
WAS
SF
AWAY
27@10
SF +17
FINAL · WEEK 17
2023 SEASON
WAS
HOME
TIER A+
PICK: SF
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: SF 78%Projected margin: -8.9
SF
PICK SIDE
-14.0
SPREAD
-8.9
PROJ MARGIN
-750
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
SF A+-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked SF. Projected margin: 8.9. Actual: 17. Off by 8.1 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 5 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 3.0 points.
Another data point for the model. A+-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -14.0 | SF market line | |
| MODEL ML | -750 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -1050 | Won · +$0.13 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
SF
Road Favorite 6-3 ATS (67%)
WAS
Divisional 1-4 ATS (20%)Home Underdog 0-4 ATS (0%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
48°F
WIND
7 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
SF
Christian McCaffrey
RB
391.3SEASON PPR
Brock Purdy
QB
295.6SEASON PPR
Brandon Aiyuk
WR
249.2SEASON PPR
WAS
Sam Howell
QB
257.5SEASON PPR
Terry McLaurin
WR
203.2SEASON PPR
Brian Robinson
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 17
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| WAS@SFW16 2022 | WAS 20, SF 37 | SF | W |
| WAS@SFW14 2020 | WAS 23, SF 15 | SF | L |
WEEK 17 · OTHER GAMES