2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
WAS @ SF – Week 14 2020
WAS
SF
WAS
AWAY
23@15
WAS +8
FINAL · WEEK 14
2020 SEASON
SF
HOME
TIER B
PICK: SF
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: SF 54%Projected margin: 1.1
SF
PICK SIDE
-3.0
SPREAD
1.1
PROJ MARGIN
-154
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
SF B-tier pick misses. WAS takes it.
MISSED
Model picked SF but WAS won. Projected margin was 1.1 -- the model overestimated by 9.1 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 5 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 11.0 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -3.0 | SF market line | |
| MODEL ML | -154 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -149 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
WAS
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Home Underdog 4-2 ATS (67%)
SF
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
WAS
Terry McLaurin
WR
223.8SEASON PPR
Antonio Gibson
RB
202.2SEASON PPR
J.D. McKissic
RB
191.4SEASON PPR
SF
Brandon Aiyuk
WR
184.5SEASON PPR
Jeff Wilson
RB
142.3SEASON PPR
Kendrick Bourne
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 14
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| SF@WASW17 2023 | SF 27, WAS 10 | SF | W |
| WAS@SFW16 2022 | WAS 20, SF 37 | SF | W |
WEEK 14 · OTHER GAMES