2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
ATL @ LAC – Week 14 2020
ATL
LAC
ATL
AWAY
17@20
LAC +3
FINAL · WEEK 14
2020 SEASON
LAC
HOME
TIER C
PICK: ATL
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: ATL 56%Projected margin: -3.6
ATL
PICK SIDE
+1.0
SPREAD
-3.6
PROJ MARGIN
+115
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
ATL C-tier pick misses. LAC takes it.
MISSED
Model picked ATL but LAC won. Projected margin was 3.6 -- the model overestimated by 6.6 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 10 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 2.0 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | +1.0 | ATL market line | |
| MODEL ML | +115 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | +107 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
ATL
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
LAC
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
ATL
Matt Ryan
QB
282.4SEASON PPR
Calvin Ridley
WR
281.5SEASON PPR
Russell Gage
WR
181.1SEASON PPR
LAC
Justin Herbert
QB
332.8SEASON PPR
Keenan Allen
WR
245.1SEASON PPR
Austin Ekeler
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 14
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAC@ATLW13 2024 | LAC 17, ATL 13 | ATL | L |
| LAC@ATLW9 2022 | LAC 20, ATL 17 | LAC | W |
WEEK 14 · OTHER GAMES