2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
LAC @ ATL – Week 13 2024
LAC
ATL
LAC
AWAY
17@13
LAC +4
FINAL · WEEK 13
2024 SEASON
ATL
HOME
TIER B
PICK: ATL
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: ATL 63%Projected margin: 1.8
ATL
PICK SIDE
+1.0
SPREAD
1.8
PROJ MARGIN
+115
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
ATL B-tier pick misses. LAC takes it.
MISSED
Model picked ATL but LAC won. Projected margin was 1.8 -- the model overestimated by 5.8 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 7 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 3.0 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | +1.0 | ATL market line | |
| MODEL ML | +115 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -102 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
LAC
divisional 6-0 ATS (100%)road_favorite 6-1 ATS (86%)Divisional 6-0 ATS (100%)Road Favorite 6-1 ATS (86%)
ATL
No noteworthy trends
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
LAC
J.Herbert
QB
285.4SEASON PPR
L.McConkey
WR
240.9SEASON PPR
J.Dobbins
RB
191.8SEASON PPR
ATL
B.Robinson
RB
341.7SEASON PPR
D.London
WR
280.8SEASON PPR
D.Mooney
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 13
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAC@ATLW9 2022 | LAC 20, ATL 17 | LAC | W |
| ATL@LACW14 2020 | ATL 17, LAC 20 | ATL | L |
WEEK 13 · OTHER GAMES