2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
LAC @ ATL – Week 9 2022
LAC
ATL
LAC
AWAY
20@17
LAC +3
FINAL · WEEK 9
2022 SEASON
ATL
HOME
TIER B
PICK: LAC
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: LAC 59%Projected margin: -0.5
LAC
PICK SIDE
-2.5
SPREAD
-0.5
PROJ MARGIN
-143
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
LAC B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected LAC by 0.5. Actual: 3 points. The model was within 2.5 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 7 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 0.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -2.5 | LAC market line | |
| MODEL ML | -143 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -143 | Won · +$0.70 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
LAC
Road Favorite 4-1 ATS (80%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
ATL
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Home Underdog 3-2 ATS (60%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
RETRACTABLE
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
LAC
Austin Ekeler
RB
372.7SEASON PPR
Justin Herbert
QB
281.3SEASON PPR
Mike Williams
WR
176.5SEASON PPR
ATL
Marcus Mariota
QB
196.6SEASON PPR
Drake London
WR
178.6SEASON PPR
Tyler Allgeier
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 9
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAC@ATLW13 2024 | LAC 17, ATL 13 | ATL | L |
| ATL@LACW14 2020 | ATL 17, LAC 20 | ATL | L |
WEEK 9 · OTHER GAMES