TIER APICK: BUF
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: BUF 72%Projected margin: -6.9
GAME NARRATIVE
BUF A-tier pick misses. NYJ takes it.
MISSED
Model picked BUF but NYJ won. Projected margin was 6.9 -- the model overestimated by 9.9 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 12 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 14.0 points.
HIGH WIND
17 MPH winds at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
BUF
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
NYJ
Home Underdog 2-3 ATS (40%)
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
INJURY REPORTWEEK 9
BUF3 LISTED
NYJ2 LISTEDHEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS