Seahawks vs Cardinals – Week 9 2022
SEA
ARI
SEA
AWAY
31@21
SEA BY 10
FINAL · WEEK 9
2022 SEASON
State Farm Stadium · Glendale, AZ
ARI
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: Seattle Seahawks 31, Arizona Cardinals 21.
Going in, our model had favored Seattle Seahawks at 63% win probability, and the pick won.
Out or doubtful: 2 Seahawks, 3 Cardinals.
Model confidence: SEA 63%Our line: SEA -4.4
ODDS
SPREAD
SEA +1.5
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
SEA -4.4
OUR LINE
COVERED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
SEA · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
63%
TEAM COMPARISON2022 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 9
-0.023Net EPA / play-0.104
-0.003 (18)Offense EPA / play-0.088 (28)
+0.020 (25)Defense EPA / play+0.016 (23)
44.2% (17)Offense success %40.6% (26)
GAME NARRATIVE
SEA B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked SEA. Projected margin: 4.4. Actual: 10. Off by 5.6 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 13 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 11.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
SEA
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
ARI
Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
RETRACTABLE
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
ARI
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2022 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
INJURY REPORTWEEK 9
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEA@ARIW2 2026 | SEA 31, ARI 7 | SEA | W |
| ARI@SEAW10 2025 | ARI 22, SEA 44 | SEA | W |
| SEA@ARIW4 2025 | SEA 23, ARI 20 | SEA | W |
| SEA@ARIW14 2024 | SEA 30, ARI 18 | ARI | L |
| ARI@SEAW12 2024 | ARI 6, SEA 16 | ARI | L |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 9 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSSEA vs ARI
Our model takes Seattle Seahawks at 63% win probability, a Tier B pick. The margin models project SEA by 4.4. The market has SEA at +1.5.
Seattle Seahawks won, SEA 31, ARI 21. Our model had favored Seattle Seahawks at 63% win probability, and the pick won.
The market has Seattle Seahawks at +1.5, meaning the book expects Seattle Seahawks to win by 1.5 points.
In Week 9, the Seattle Seahawks were without 2 players (Out or Doubtful) and the Arizona Cardinals were without 3 players (Out or Doubtful).
Sportsbooks have this game at 49.5 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 47.3, 2.2 below the market.
Week 9 of the 2022 season, SUN 4:05 PM.
Seattle Seahawks, SEA 31, ARI 7 in Week 2 of 2026.
By net EPA per play over the 2022 season, Seattle Seahawks: SEA -0.023 against ARI -0.104.
