2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
CAR @ CIN – Week 9 2022
CAR
CIN
CAR
AWAY
21@42
CIN +21
FINAL · WEEK 9
2022 SEASON
CIN
HOME
TIER B
PICK: CIN
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: CIN 67%Projected margin: 4.6
CIN
PICK SIDE
-7.0
SPREAD
4.6
PROJ MARGIN
-274
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
CIN B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked CIN. Projected margin: 4.6. Actual: 21. Off by 16.4 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 14.0 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -7.0 | CIN market line | |
| MODEL ML | -274 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -331 | Won · +$0.36 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
CAR
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)Home Underdog 5-1 ATS (83%)
CIN
Road Favorite 6-2 ATS (75%)Divisional 3-2 ATS (60%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
68°F
WIND
11 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
CAR
DJ Moore
WR
199.1SEASON PPR
D'Onta Foreman
RB
131.0SEASON PPR
Christian McCaffrey
RB
118.0SEASON PPR
CIN
Joe Burrow
QB
350.7SEASON PPR
Ja'Marr Chase
WR
242.4SEASON PPR
Joe Mixon
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 9
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN@CARW4 2024 | CIN 34, CAR 24 | CIN | W |
WEEK 9 · OTHER GAMES