2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
PHI @ HOU – Week 9 2022
PHI
HOU
PHI
AWAY
29@17
PHI +12
FINAL · WEEK 9
2022 SEASON
HOU
HOME
TIER S
PICK: PHI
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: PHI 80%Projected margin: -10.6
PHI
PICK SIDE
-14.0
SPREAD
-10.6
PROJ MARGIN
-750
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
PHI S-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected PHI by 10.6. Actual: 12 points. The model was within 1.4 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 7 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 2.0 points.
Another data point for the model. S-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -14.0 | PHI market line | |
| MODEL ML | -750 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -702 | Won · +$0.13 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
PHI
Road Favorite 2-5 ATS (29%)
HOU
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Home Underdog 3-5 ATS (38%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
PHI
Jalen Hurts
QB
378.0SEASON PPR
A.J. Brown
WR
299.6SEASON PPR
DeVonta Smith
WR
256.6SEASON PPR
HOU
Davis Mills
QB
181.5SEASON PPR
Dameon Pierce
RB
166.4SEASON PPR
Brandin Cooks
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 9
WEEK 9 · OTHER GAMES