2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
MIN @ WAS – Week 9 2022
MIN
WAS
MIN
AWAY
20@17
MIN +3
FINAL · WEEK 9
2022 SEASON
WAS
HOME
TIER B
PICK: MIN
PICK WONATS PUSH
Model confidence: MIN 66%Projected margin: -3.8
MIN
PICK SIDE
-3.0
SPREAD
-3.8
PROJ MARGIN
-154
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
PUSH
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
MIN B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected MIN by 3.8. Actual: 3 points. The model was within 0.8 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 3 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
PUSH
Final margin landed exactly on the spread (-3.0). Push -- no winner ATS.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -3.0 | MIN market line | |
| MODEL ML | -154 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -169 | Won · +$0.65 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
MIN
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
WAS
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
71°F
WIND
11 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
MIN
Justin Jefferson
WR
368.7SEASON PPR
Kirk Cousins
QB
291.6SEASON PPR
Dalvin Cook
RB
237.8SEASON PPR
WAS
Terry McLaurin
WR
229.0SEASON PPR
Curtis Samuel
WR
176.3SEASON PPR
Antonio Gibson
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 9
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| WAS@MINW14 2025 | WAS 0, MIN 31 | WAS | L |
WEEK 9 · OTHER GAMES