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2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026

CIN

CAR

CIN

AWAY

34@24

CIN +10

FINAL · WEEK 4

2024 SEASON

CAR

HOME

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TEAM COMPARISON

CIN	METRIC	CAR
+0.053	NET EPA/PLAY	-0.213
+0.090	OFF EPA/PLAY	-0.053
+0.037	DEF EPA/PLAY	+0.160
472	POINTS FOR	341
434	POINTS AGAINST	534
65.6%	PASS RATE	59.3%
81.8%	RED ZONE TD%	82.6%
18.3%	4TH DOWN GO%	23.6%

CINANALYTICS →CARANALYTICS →

BETTING LINE

FIELD	VALUE		NOTES
SPREAD	-4.5		Market line
LIVE ML	—		Last observed market ML

GAME TOTAL

PREDICTED TOTAL

45.4

ALL GAME TOTALS →

SITUATIONAL TRENDS

CIN

road_favorite 5-1 ATS (83%)

CAR

home_underdog 5-3 ATS (63%)

GAME WEATHER

VENUE

OUTDOOR

TEMP

78°F

WIND

6 MPH

WIN PROBABILITY

KEY PLAYERS

CIN

J.Chase

WR

403.0PPR

J.Burrow

QB

372.8PPR

C.Brown

RB

255.0PPR

CAR

C.Hubbard

RB

241.6PPR

B.Young

QB

195.0PPR

A.Thielen

WR

130.8PPR

INJURY REPORTWEEK 4

CIN5 LISTED

B.J. Hill

DT · Hamstring

DOUBTFUL

Trenton Brown

T · Knee

OUT

Sheldon Rankins

DT · Hamstring

OUT

Tanner Hudson

TE · Knee

QUESTIONABLE

Daijahn Anthony

S · Illness

QUESTIONABLE

HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS

GAME	SCORE
CAR@CINW9 2022	CAR 21, CIN 42

FULL COMPARISON →

CIN ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

CAR ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

COMPARE

WEEK 4 · OTHER GAMES

TEN@MIA

31-12

NE@SF

13-30

SEA@DET

29-42

DEN@NYJ

10-9

JAX@HOU

20-24

MIN@GB

31-29

WAS@ARI

42-14

← WEEK 4 PICKS FULL RESULTS LEDGER →

HOME TEAM WIN PROBABILITY OVER GAME TIME · SOURCE: NFLFASTR

CAR6 LISTED

Lonnie Johnson

S · Hip

OUT

Shy Tuttle

DT · Foot

OUT

Damien Lewis

G · Elbow

OUT

A'Shawn Robinson

DE · Knee

QUESTIONABLE

Diontae Johnson

WR · Groin

QUESTIONABLE

Robert Hunt

G · Hip

QUESTIONABLE

NEXT GEN STATS

EXP COMP %

71.4%

Joe BurrowCIN

TIME TO THROW

2.52s

Andy DaltonCAR

SEPARATION

4.0 yds

Jonathan MingoCAR

RUSH EFFICIENCY

2.7

Chuba HubbardCAR

AGGRESSIVENESS

22.6%

Joe BurrowCIN

AVG YAC

21.0 yds

Ja'Marr ChaseCIN

GREEN = ELITE VS LEAGUE

SOURCE: NFL NEXT GEN STATS

CIN SCHEME RATES

17 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

20.0%

BLITZ RATE

22.8%

MOTION

38.5%

RPO

3.6%

SCREEN

4.9%

NO HUDDLE

2.7%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.3

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

CAR SCHEME RATES

17 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

24.3%

BLITZ RATE

30.3%

MOTION

27.0%

RPO

3.8%

SCREEN

7.6%

NO HUDDLE

5.8%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.4

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

CIN ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

11.5%

DROP %

4.4%

PRESSURE %

21.2%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

3.3

YAC/ATT

1.2

BROKEN TACKLES

27

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

66.7%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

86.2

MISSED TACKLE %

9.8%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

CAR ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

19.9%

DROP %

3.2%

PRESSURE %

23.6%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

2.7

YAC/ATT

1.4

BROKEN TACKLES

26

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

73.9%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

93.0

MISSED TACKLE %

13.4%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

CIN @ CAR – Week 4 2024