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2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026

AWAY

13@30

SF +17

FINAL · WEEK 4

2024 SEASON

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TEAM COMPARISON

NE	METRIC	SF
-0.153	NET EPA/PLAY	+0.028
-0.083	OFF EPA/PLAY	+0.069
+0.070	DEF EPA/PLAY	+0.041
289	POINTS FOR	389
417	POINTS AGAINST	436
57.1%	PASS RATE	55.6%
66.7%	RED ZONE TD%	81.8%
19.2%	4TH DOWN GO%	15.4%

NEANALYTICS →SFANALYTICS →

BETTING LINE

FIELD	VALUE		NOTES
SPREAD	+10.5		Market line
LIVE ML	—		Last observed market ML

GAME TOTAL

PREDICTED TOTAL

45.5

ALL GAME TOTALS →

SITUATIONAL TRENDS

NE

No noteworthy trends

SF

road_favorite 1-4 ATS (20%)divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)

GAME WEATHER

VENUE

OUTDOOR

TEMP

71°F

WIND

5 MPH

WIN PROBABILITY

KEY PLAYERS

NE

D.Maye

QB

177.1PPR

R.Stevenson

RB

175.9PPR

D.Douglas

WR

147.7PPR

SF

B.Purdy

QB

266.9PPR

G.Kittle

TE

236.6PPR

J.Jennings

WR

210.5PPR

INJURY REPORTWEEK 4

NE7 LISTED

Vederian Lowe

T · Knee

OUT

Michael Jordan

G · Ankle

OUT

Alex Austin

CB · Ankle

OUT

Jonathan Jones

CB · Shoulder

QUESTIONABLE

Sidy Sow

G · Ankle

QUESTIONABLE

HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS

GAME	SCORE
SF@NEW7 2020	SF 33, NE 6

FULL COMPARISON →

NE ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

SF ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

COMPARE

WEEK 4 · OTHER GAMES

TEN@MIA

31-12

SEA@DET

29-42

DEN@NYJ

10-9

JAX@HOU

20-24

MIN@GB

31-29

WAS@ARI

42-14

BUF@BAL

10-35

← WEEK 4 PICKS FULL RESULTS LEDGER →

HOME TEAM WIN PROBABILITY OVER GAME TIME · SOURCE: NFLFASTR

Caedan Wallace

T · Knee

QUESTIONABLE

Anfernee Jennings

LB · Shoulder

QUESTIONABLE

SF7 LISTED

Curtis Robinson

LB · Knee

OUT

Javon Hargrave

DT · Triceps

OUT

Trent Williams

T · Illness

QUESTIONABLE

Talanoa Hufanga

S · Ankle

QUESTIONABLE

Dee Winters

LB · Ankle

QUESTIONABLE

Jordan Elliott

DT · Foot

QUESTIONABLE

Deebo Samuel

WR · Calf

QUESTIONABLE

NE SCHEME RATES

17 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

21.4%

BLITZ RATE

29.4%

MOTION

31.1%

RPO

5.3%

SCREEN

10.8%

NO HUDDLE

8.6%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.3

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

NE ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

26.2%

DROP %

5.1%

PRESSURE %

22.9%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

2.8

YAC/ATT

1.7

BROKEN TACKLES

28

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

70.6%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

87.6

MISSED TACKLE %

8.7%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

NEXT GEN STATS

EXP COMP %

63.8%

Jacoby BrissettNE

TIME TO THROW

2.60s

Jacoby BrissettNE

SEPARATION

2.4 yds

Deebo Samuel Sr.SF

RUSH EFFICIENCY

4.0

Jordan MasonSF

AGGRESSIVENESS

29.6%

Brock PurdySF

AVG YAC

9.7 yds

Brandon AiyukSF

GREEN = ELITE VS LEAGUE

SOURCE: NFL NEXT GEN STATS

SF SCHEME RATES

17 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

22.4%

BLITZ RATE

30.5%

MOTION

55.6%

RPO

0.6%

SCREEN

8.4%

NO HUDDLE

2.9%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.3

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

SF ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

18.4%

DROP %

4.3%

PRESSURE %

16.8%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

3.0

YAC/ATT

1.7

BROKEN TACKLES

24

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

68.6%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

86.0

MISSED TACKLE %

11.2%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

NE @ SF – Week 4 2024