2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NE @ SF – Week 4 2024
NE
SF
NE
AWAY
13@30
SF +17
FINAL · WEEK 4
2024 SEASON
SF
HOME
TIER A+
PICK: SF
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: SF 73%Projected margin: 7.7
SF
PICK SIDE
-10.5
SPREAD
7.7
PROJ MARGIN
-453
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
SF A+-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked SF. Projected margin: 7.7. Actual: 17. Off by 9.3 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 6.5 points.
Another data point for the model. A+-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -10.5 | SF market line | |
| MODEL ML | -453 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -550 | Won · +$0.22 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NE
No noteworthy trends
SF
road_favorite 1-4 ATS (20%)divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)Road Favorite 1-4 ATS (20%)Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
71°F
WIND
5 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
NE
D.Maye
QB
177.1SEASON PPR
R.Stevenson
RB
175.9SEASON PPR
D.Douglas
WR
147.7SEASON PPR
SF
B.Purdy
QB
266.9SEASON PPR
G.Kittle
TE
236.6SEASON PPR
J.Jennings
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 4
WEEK 4 · OTHER GAMES