Cardinals vs Seahawks – Week 10 2025
ARI
SEA
ARI
AWAY
22@44
SEA BY 22
FINAL · WEEK 10
2025 SEASON
Lumen Field · Seattle, WA
SEA
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: Arizona Cardinals 22, Seattle Seahawks 44.
Going in, our model had favored Seattle Seahawks at 74% win probability, and the pick won.
Out or doubtful: 4 Cardinals, 7 Seahawks.
Model confidence: SEA 74%Our line: SEA -8.9
ODDS
SPREAD
SEA -7.0
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
SEA -8.9
OUR LINE
COVERED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
SEA · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 10
-0.107Net EPA / play+0.150
-0.018 (23)Offense EPA / play+0.033 (13)
+0.088 (27)Defense EPA / play-0.117 (2)
43.0% (22)Offense success %46.3% (7)
GAME NARRATIVE
SEA A+-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked SEA. Projected margin: 8.9. Actual: 22. Off by 13.1 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 15.0 points.
Another data point for the model. A+-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
ARI
Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)Home Underdog 1-5 ATS (17%)
SEA
Road Favorite 6-1 ATS (86%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
59°F
WIND
5 MPH
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
INJURY REPORTWEEK 10
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEA@ARIW2 2026 | SEA 31, ARI 7 | SEA | W |
| SEA@ARIW4 2025 | SEA 23, ARI 20 | SEA | W |
| SEA@ARIW14 2024 | SEA 30, ARI 18 | ARI | L |
| ARI@SEAW12 2024 | ARI 6, SEA 16 | ARI | L |
| SEA@ARIW18 2023 | SEA 21, ARI 20 | ARI | L |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 10 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSARI vs SEA
Our model takes Seattle Seahawks at 74% win probability, a Tier A+ pick. The margin models project SEA by 8.9. The market has SEA at -7.0.
Seattle Seahawks won, ARI 22, SEA 44. Our model had favored Seattle Seahawks at 74% win probability, and the pick won.
The market has Seattle Seahawks at -7.0, meaning the book expects Seattle Seahawks to win by 7.0 points.
In Week 10, the Arizona Cardinals were without 4 players (Out or Doubtful) and the Seattle Seahawks were without 7 players (Out or Doubtful).
Sportsbooks have this game at 44.5 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 46.3, 1.8 above the market.
Week 10 of the 2025 season, SUN 4:05 PM.
Seattle Seahawks, SEA 31, ARI 7 in Week 2 of 2026.
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Seattle Seahawks: ARI -0.107 against SEA +0.150.
