2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NYG @ CHI – Week 10 2025
NYG
CHI
NYG
AWAY
20@24
CHI +4
FINAL · WEEK 10
2025 SEASON
CHI
HOME
TIER A+
PICK: CHI
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: CHI 75%Projected margin: 7.8
CHI
PICK SIDE
-4.5
SPREAD
7.8
PROJ MARGIN
-191
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
CHI A+-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked CHI. Projected margin: 7.8. Actual: 4. Off by 3.8 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 6 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
BAD BEAT
Missed the spread by just 0.5 points -- a bad-beat loss.
COLD GAME
33°F at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.
Another data point for the model. A+-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -4.5 | CHI market line | |
| MODEL ML | -191 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | — | Won · +$0.52 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NYG
No noteworthy trends
CHI
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
33°F
WIND
10 MPH
COLD GAME
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
NYG
J.Dart
QB
241.6SEASON PPR
W.Robinson
WR
217.9SEASON PPR
T.Tracy
RB
160.8SEASON PPR
CHI
C.Williams
QB
318.2SEASON PPR
D.Swift
RB
228.6SEASON PPR
D.Moore
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 10
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CHI@NYGW4 2022 | CHI 12, NYG 20 | CHI | L |
| NYG@CHIW17 2021 | NYG 3, CHI 29 | CHI | W |
| NYG@CHIW2 2020 | NYG 13, CHI 17 | CHI | W |
WEEK 10 · OTHER GAMES