2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
CLE @ NYJ – Week 10 2025
CLE
NYJ
CLE
AWAY
20@27
NYJ +7
FINAL · WEEK 10
2025 SEASON
NYJ
HOME
TIER C
PICK: NYJ
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: NYJ 50%Projected margin: 0.7
NYJ
PICK SIDE
+1.5
SPREAD
0.7
PROJ MARGIN
+124
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
NYJ C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked NYJ. Projected margin: 0.7. Actual: 7. Off by 6.3 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 2 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 8.5 points.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | +1.5 | NYJ market line | |
| MODEL ML | +124 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | +124 | Won · +$1.24 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
CLE
Home Underdog 5-2 ATS (71%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
NYJ
Divisional 0-6 ATS (0%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
62°F
WIND
12 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
CLE
H.Fannin
TE
186.4SEASON PPR
Q.Judkins
RB
169.8SEASON PPR
J.Jeudy
WR
120.7SEASON PPR
NYJ
B.Hall
RB
207.7SEASON PPR
J.Fields
QB
142.7SEASON PPR
G.Wilson
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 10
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYJ@CLEW17 2023 | NYJ 20, CLE 37 | CLE | W |
| NYJ@CLEW2 2022 | NYJ 31, CLE 30 | CLE | L |
| CLE@NYJW16 2020 | CLE 16, NYJ 23 | CLE | L |
WEEK 10 · OTHER GAMES