2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
CLE @ NYJ – Week 16 2020
CLE
NYJ
CLE
AWAY
16@23
NYJ +7
FINAL · WEEK 16
2020 SEASON
NYJ
HOME
TIER A+
PICK: CLE
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: CLE 68%Projected margin: -8.8
CLE
PICK SIDE
-6.5
SPREAD
-8.8
PROJ MARGIN
-255
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
CLE A+-tier pick misses. NYJ takes it.
MISSED
Model picked CLE but NYJ won. Projected margin was 8.8 -- the model overestimated by 15.8 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 4 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 13.5 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -6.5 | CLE market line | |
| MODEL ML | -255 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -303 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
CLE
Windy 2-3 ATS (40%)Divisional 0-6 ATS (0%)
NYJ
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
37°F
WIND
5 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
CLE
Baker Mayfield
QB
248.6SEASON PPR
Kareem Hunt
RB
218.5SEASON PPR
Nick Chubb
RB
207.7SEASON PPR
NYJ
Jamison Crowder
WR
172.0SEASON PPR
Sam Darnold
QB
134.0SEASON PPR
Frank Gore
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 16
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLE@NYJW10 2025 | CLE 20, NYJ 27 | NYJ | W |
| NYJ@CLEW17 2023 | NYJ 20, CLE 37 | CLE | W |
| NYJ@CLEW2 2022 | NYJ 31, CLE 30 | CLE | L |
WEEK 16 · OTHER GAMES