2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
TB @ DET – Week 16 2020
TB
DET
TB
AWAY
47@7
TB +40
FINAL · WEEK 16
2020 SEASON
DET
HOME
TIER A+
PICK: TB
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: TB 66%Projected margin: -7.8
TB
PICK SIDE
-12.0
SPREAD
-7.8
PROJ MARGIN
-562
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
TB A+-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked TB. Projected margin: 7.8. Actual: 40. Off by 32.2 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 28.0 points.
DRAMATIC
The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.
Another data point for the model. A+-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -12.0 | TB market line | |
| MODEL ML | -562 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -591 | Won · +$0.18 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
TB
No noteworthy trends
DET
Home Underdog 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
TB
Tom Brady
QB
337.9SEASON PPR
Mike Evans
WR
248.6SEASON PPR
Chris Godwin Jr.
WR
191.0SEASON PPR
DET
Matthew Stafford
QB
260.6SEASON PPR
Marvin Jones
WR
227.8SEASON PPR
D'Andre Swift
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 16
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| TB@DETW7 2025 | TB 9, DET 24 | DET | W |
| TB@DETW2 2024 | TB 20, DET 16 | DET | L |
| DET@TBW6 2023 | DET 20, TB 6 | DET | W |
WEEK 16 · OTHER GAMES