2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
DET @ TB – Week 6 2023
DET
TB
DET
AWAY
20@6
DET +14
FINAL · WEEK 6
2023 SEASON
TB
HOME
TIER C
PICK: DET
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: DET 50%Projected margin: 0.0
DET
PICK SIDE
-3.0
SPREAD
0.0
PROJ MARGIN
-154
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
DET C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked DET. Projected margin: 0.0. Actual: 14. Off by 14.0 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 3 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 11.0 points.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -3.0 | DET market line | |
| MODEL ML | -154 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -162 | Won · +$0.65 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
DET
Road Favorite 5-1 ATS (83%)
TB
No noteworthy trends
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
77°F
WIND
13 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
DET
Amon-Ra St. Brown
WR
330.9SEASON PPR
Jared Goff
QB
289.1SEASON PPR
Jahmyr Gibbs
RB
242.1SEASON PPR
TB
Mike Evans
WR
282.5SEASON PPR
Baker Mayfield
QB
274.1SEASON PPR
Rachaad White
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 6
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| TB@DETW7 2025 | TB 9, DET 24 | DET | W |
| TB@DETW2 2024 | TB 20, DET 16 | DET | L |
| TB@DETW16 2020 | TB 47, DET 7 | TB | W |
WEEK 6 · OTHER GAMES