2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
WAS @ ATL – Week 6 2023
WAS
ATL
WAS
AWAY
24@16
WAS +8
FINAL · WEEK 6
2023 SEASON
ATL
HOME
TIER B
PICK: ATL
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: ATL 67%Projected margin: 4.6
ATL
PICK SIDE
-1.5
SPREAD
4.6
PROJ MARGIN
-124
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
ATL B-tier pick misses. WAS takes it.
MISSED
Model picked ATL but WAS won. Projected margin was 4.6 -- the model overestimated by 12.6 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 3 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 9.5 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -1.5 | ATL market line | |
| MODEL ML | -124 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -125 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
WAS
Divisional 1-4 ATS (20%)Home Underdog 0-4 ATS (0%)
ATL
No noteworthy trends
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
WAS
Sam Howell
QB
257.5SEASON PPR
Terry McLaurin
WR
203.2SEASON PPR
Brian Robinson
RB
198.1SEASON PPR
ATL
Bijan Robinson
RB
246.3SEASON PPR
Desmond Ridder
QB
177.1SEASON PPR
Drake London
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 6
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 4 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| WAS@ATLW4 2025 | WAS 27, ATL 34 | WAS | L |
| ATL@WASW17 2024 | ATL 24, WAS 30 | WAS | W |
| ATL@WASW12 2022 | ATL 13, WAS 19 | WAS | W |
| WAS@ATLW4 2021 | WAS 34, ATL 30 | WAS | W |
WEEK 6 · OTHER GAMES