2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
CAR @ MIA – Week 6 2023
CAR
MIA
CAR
AWAY
21@42
MIA +21
FINAL · WEEK 6
2023 SEASON
MIA
HOME
TIER A+
PICK: MIA
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: MIA 77%Projected margin: 8.7
MIA
PICK SIDE
-14.0
SPREAD
8.7
PROJ MARGIN
-750
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
MIA A+-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked MIA. Projected margin: 8.7. Actual: 21. Off by 12.3 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 2 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 7.0 points.
Another data point for the model. A+-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -14.0 | MIA market line | |
| MODEL ML | -750 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -1100 | Won · +$0.13 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
CAR
Divisional 2-3 ATS (40%)
MIA
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
87°F
WIND
12 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
CAR
Adam Thielen
WR
231.0SEASON PPR
Chuba Hubbard
RB
182.5SEASON PPR
Bryce Young
QB
156.4SEASON PPR
MIA
Tyreek Hill
WR
376.4SEASON PPR
Tua Tagovailoa
QB
270.4SEASON PPR
Raheem Mostert
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 6
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA@CARW5 2025 | MIA 24, CAR 27 | CAR | W |
| CAR@MIAW12 2021 | CAR 10, MIA 33 | MIA | W |
WEEK 6 · OTHER GAMES