2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NYG @ BUF – Week 6 2023
NYG
BUF
NYG
AWAY
9@14
BUF +5
FINAL · WEEK 6
2023 SEASON
BUF
HOME
TIER S
PICK: BUF
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: BUF 85%Projected margin: 12.9
BUF
PICK SIDE
-15.5
SPREAD
12.9
PROJ MARGIN
-931
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
BUF S-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked BUF. Projected margin: 12.9. Actual: 5. Off by 7.9 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 8 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 10.5 points.
Another data point for the model. S-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -15.5 | BUF market line | |
| MODEL ML | -931 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -1200 | Won · +$0.11 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NYG
Home Underdog 5-2 ATS (71%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
BUF
Road Favorite 2-3 ATS (40%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
46°F
WIND
7 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
NYG
Saquon Barkley
RB
223.2SEASON PPR
Darius Slayton
WR
151.0SEASON PPR
Wan'Dale Robinson
WR
133.2SEASON PPR
BUF
Josh Allen
QB
392.6SEASON PPR
Stefon Diggs
WR
273.8SEASON PPR
James Cook
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 6
WEEK 6 · OTHER GAMES