TIER A+PICK: SF
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: SF 79%Projected margin: -8.3
GAME NARRATIVE
SF A+-tier pick misses. CLE takes it.
MISSED
Model picked SF but CLE won. Projected margin was 8.3 -- the model overestimated by 10.3 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 8 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 11.5 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
SF
Road Favorite 6-3 ATS (67%)
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
INJURY REPORTWEEK 6
SF2 LISTEDDre Greenlaw
LB · Hamstring
QUESTIONABLE
CLE5 LISTEDDeshaun Watson
QB · right Shoulder
OUT
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS