TIER CPICK: LAC
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: LAC 57%Projected margin: 0.3
GAME NARRATIVE
LAC C-tier pick misses. DAL takes it.
MISSED
Model picked LAC but DAL won. Projected margin was 0.3 -- the model overestimated by 3.3 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 9 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
BAD BEAT
Missed the spread by just 1.5 points -- a bad-beat loss.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
DAL
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)Road Favorite 4-1 ATS (80%)
LAC
Divisional 0-5 ATS (0%)
GAME WEATHER
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
INJURY REPORTWEEK 6
DAL4 LISTEDC.J. Goodwin
CB · Pectoral
OUT
Leighton Vander Esch
LB · Neck
OUT
Juanyeh Thomas
S · Hamstring
DOUBTFUL
LAC5 LISTEDHEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS