2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
PHI @ NYJ – Week 6 2023
PHI
NYJ
PHI
AWAY
14@20
NYJ +6
FINAL · WEEK 6
2023 SEASON
NYJ
HOME
TIER A+
PICK: PHI
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: PHI 77%Projected margin: -7.5
PHI
PICK SIDE
-6.5
SPREAD
-7.5
PROJ MARGIN
-255
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
PHI A+-tier pick misses. NYJ takes it.
MISSED
Model picked PHI but NYJ won. Projected margin was 7.5 -- the model overestimated by 13.5 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 4 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 12.5 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -6.5 | PHI market line | |
| MODEL ML | -255 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -305 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
PHI
Divisional 1-4 ATS (20%)
NYJ
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
59°F
WIND
11 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
PHI
Jalen Hurts
QB
356.8SEASON PPR
A.J. Brown
WR
289.6SEASON PPR
DeVonta Smith
WR
227.6SEASON PPR
NYJ
Breece Hall
RB
290.5SEASON PPR
Garrett Wilson
WR
213.2SEASON PPR
Tyler Conklin
TE
INJURY REPORTWEEK 6
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHI@NYJW13 2021 | PHI 33, NYJ 18 | PHI | W |
WEEK 6 · OTHER GAMES