2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
ATL @ WAS – Week 12 2022
ATL
WAS
ATL
AWAY
13@19
WAS +6
FINAL · WEEK 12
2022 SEASON
WAS
HOME
TIER B
PICK: WAS
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: WAS 61%Projected margin: 2.4
WAS
PICK SIDE
-3.5
SPREAD
2.4
PROJ MARGIN
-165
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
WAS B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked WAS. Projected margin: 2.4. Actual: 6. Off by 3.6 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 6 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 2.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -3.5 | WAS market line | |
| MODEL ML | -165 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -183 | Won · +$0.61 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
ATL
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Home Underdog 3-2 ATS (60%)
WAS
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
46°F
WIND
9 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
ATL
Marcus Mariota
QB
196.6SEASON PPR
Drake London
WR
178.6SEASON PPR
Tyler Allgeier
RB
159.4SEASON PPR
WAS
Terry McLaurin
WR
229.0SEASON PPR
Curtis Samuel
WR
176.3SEASON PPR
Antonio Gibson
INJURY REPORTWEEK 12
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 4 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| WAS@ATLW4 2025 | WAS 27, ATL 34 | WAS | L |
| ATL@WASW17 2024 | ATL 24, WAS 30 | WAS | W |
| WAS@ATLW6 2023 | WAS 24, ATL 16 | ATL | L |
| WAS@ATLW4 2021 | WAS 34, ATL 30 | WAS | W |
WEEK 12 · OTHER GAMES