2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
DEN @ CAR – Week 12 2022
DEN
CAR
DEN
AWAY
10@23
CAR +13
FINAL · WEEK 12
2022 SEASON
CAR
HOME
TIER C
PICK: DEN
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: DEN 56%Projected margin: 0.0
DEN
PICK SIDE
-1.0
SPREAD
0.0
PROJ MARGIN
-115
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
DEN C-tier pick misses. CAR takes it.
MISSED
Model picked DEN but CAR won. Projected margin was 0.0 -- the model overestimated by 13.0 points.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 14.0 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -1.0 | DEN market line | |
| MODEL ML | -115 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -116 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
DEN
No noteworthy trends
CAR
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)Home Underdog 5-1 ATS (83%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
66°F
WIND
15 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
DEN
Russell Wilson
QB
225.8SEASON PPR
Jerry Jeudy
WR
204.2SEASON PPR
Courtland Sutton
WR
159.4SEASON PPR
CAR
DJ Moore
WR
199.1SEASON PPR
D'Onta Foreman
RB
131.0SEASON PPR
Christian McCaffrey
INJURY REPORTWEEK 12
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CAR@DENW8 2024 | CAR 14, DEN 28 | DEN | W |
| DEN@CARW14 2020 | DEN 32, CAR 27 | DEN | W |
WEEK 12 · OTHER GAMES