NE @ MIN – Week 12 2022

NE B-tier pick misses. MIN takes it.

Model picked NE but MIN won. Projected margin was 1.8 -- the model overestimated by 8.8 points.

The win probability swung past 50% 10 times. One of the wildest games of the week.

Missed the spread by 4.5 points.

Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.