2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NO @ SF – Week 12 2022
NO
SF
NO
AWAY
0@13
SF +13
FINAL · WEEK 12
2022 SEASON
SF
HOME
TIER B
PICK: SF
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: SF 70%Projected margin: 6.1
SF
PICK SIDE
-9.5
SPREAD
6.1
PROJ MARGIN
-392
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
SF B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked SF. Projected margin: 6.1. Actual: 13. Off by 6.9 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 3.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -9.5 | SF market line | |
| MODEL ML | -392 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -392 | Won · +$0.26 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NO
Home Underdog 2-3 ATS (40%)Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
SF
Divisional 6-0 ATS (100%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
59°F
WIND
2 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
NO
Alvin Kamara
RB
211.7SEASON PPR
Chris Olave
WR
198.2SEASON PPR
Andy Dalton
QB
174.2SEASON PPR
SF
Christian McCaffrey
RB
238.4SEASON PPR
Brandon Aiyuk
WR
227.8SEASON PPR
George Kittle
TE
INJURY REPORTWEEK 12
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| SF@NOW2 2025 | SF 26, NO 21 | SF | W |
| SF@NOW10 2020 | SF 13, NO 27 | NO | W |
WEEK 12 · OTHER GAMES