2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
SF @ NO – Week 10 2020
SF
NO
SF
AWAY
13@27
NO +14
FINAL · WEEK 10
2020 SEASON
NO
HOME
TIER B
PICK: NO
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: NO 63%Projected margin: 5.9
NO
PICK SIDE
-9.5
SPREAD
5.9
PROJ MARGIN
-392
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
NO B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked NO. Projected margin: 5.9. Actual: 14. Off by 8.1 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 2 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 4.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -9.5 | NO market line | |
| MODEL ML | -392 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -387 | Won · +$0.26 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
SF
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
NO
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
SF
Brandon Aiyuk
WR
184.5SEASON PPR
Jeff Wilson
RB
142.3SEASON PPR
Kendrick Bourne
WR
129.7SEASON PPR
NO
Alvin Kamara
RB
377.8SEASON PPR
Drew Brees
QB
209.5SEASON PPR
Emmanuel Sanders
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 10
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| SF@NOW2 2025 | SF 26, NO 21 | SF | W |
| NO@SFW12 2022 | NO 0, SF 13 | SF | W |
WEEK 10 · OTHER GAMES