2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
WAS @ DET – Week 10 2020
WAS
DET
WAS
AWAY
27@30
DET +3
FINAL · WEEK 10
2020 SEASON
DET
HOME
TIER C
PICK: DET
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: DET 54%Projected margin: 1.7
DET
PICK SIDE
-2.5
SPREAD
1.7
PROJ MARGIN
-143
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
DET C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected DET by 1.7. Actual: 3 points. The model was within 1.3 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 2 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 0.5 points.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -2.5 | DET market line | |
| MODEL ML | -143 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -136 | Won · +$0.70 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
WAS
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Home Underdog 4-2 ATS (67%)
DET
Home Underdog 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
WAS
Terry McLaurin
WR
223.8SEASON PPR
Antonio Gibson
RB
202.2SEASON PPR
J.D. McKissic
RB
191.4SEASON PPR
DET
Matthew Stafford
QB
260.6SEASON PPR
Marvin Jones
WR
227.8SEASON PPR
D'Andre Swift
INJURY REPORTWEEK 10
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| DET@WASW10 2025 | DET 44, WAS 22 | DET | W |
| WAS@DETW2 2022 | WAS 27, DET 36 | WAS | L |
WEEK 10 · OTHER GAMES