TIER CPICK: CLE
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: CLE 58%Projected margin: 3.8
GAME NARRATIVE
CLE C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected CLE by 3.8. Actual: 3 points. The model was within 0.8 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 4 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
BAD BEAT
Missed the spread by just 1.5 points -- a bad-beat loss.
HIGH WIND
25 MPH winds at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
HOU
Home Underdog 2-3 ATS (40%)
CLE
Windy 2-3 ATS (40%)Divisional 0-6 ATS (0%)
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
INJURY REPORTWEEK 10
HOU5 LISTEDJosh McCown
QB · Not Injury Related
OUT
Senio Kelemete
G · Concussion
OUT
David Johnson
RB · Concussion
OUT
Charles Omenihu
DE · Hamstring
QUESTIONABLE
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS