HOU @ CLE – Week 10 2026
HOU
CLE
HOU
AWAY
OUR PICK
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 10 · 2026 SEASON
CLE
HOME
Model confidence: HOU 77%Projected margin: -7.6
HOU
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-7.6
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
+0.118Net EPA / play-0.094
-0.013Offense EPA / play-0.190
-0.131Defense EPA / play-0.096
41.3%Offense success %34.5%
38.3%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
GAME NARRATIVE
Early forecast: HOU at 77%, backed by epa edge.
EPA EDGE
HOU generates -0.013 EPA/play on offense. CLE's defense allows -0.096. That's a top-tier efficiency gap.
BLOWOUT PROJ
Model projects a 7.6-point margin.
Net-positive signal profile for HOU. This forecast updates every Wednesday as the season plays out.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | HOU market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
HOU
N.Collins
WR
226.2SEASON PPR
C.Stroud
QB
208.5SEASON PPR
D.Schultz
TE
177.7SEASON PPR
CLE
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Houston TexansPASSING
C.Stroud3041 yd · 19 TD · 8 INT
RUSHING
W.Marks703 yd · 2 TD
N.Chubb506 yd · 3 TD
C.Stroud209 yd · 1 TD
RECEIVING
N.Collins71 rec · 1117 yd · 6 TD
D.Schultz82 rec · 777 yd · 3 TD
J.Higgins41 rec · 525 yd · 6 TD
X.Hutchinson35 rec · 428 yd · 3 TD
VS
3,041PASSyds1,400
1,418RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 4 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLE@HOUW16 2023 | CLE 36, HOU 22 | CLE | W |
| CLE@HOUW13 2022 | CLE 27, HOU 14 | CLE | W |
| HOU@CLEW2 2021 | HOU 21, CLE 31 | CLE | W |
| HOU@CLEW10 2020 | HOU 7, CLE 10 | CLE | W |
COMMON QUESTIONSHOU vs CLE
Who is favored in Houston Texans at Cleveland Browns?
Our model takes Houston Texans at 77% win probability. The margin models project HOU by 7.6. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Houston Texans and Cleveland Browns play?
Week 10 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Who won the last Houston Texans vs Cleveland Browns game?
Cleveland Browns, 36-22 in Week 16 of 2023.
Which team has been better, the Houston Texans or the Cleveland Browns?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Houston Texans: HOU +0.118 against CLE -0.094.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
