WAS @ NYG – Week 10 2026
WAS
NYG
WAS
AWAY
@
THU 8:15 PM
WEEK 10 · 2026 SEASON
NYG
HOME
OUR PICK
Model confidence: NYG 58%Projected margin: -0.3
NYG
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-0.3
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
-0.137Net EPA / play-0.075
+0.005Offense EPA / play+0.012
+0.142Defense EPA / play+0.087
45.6%Offense success %42.1%
47.6%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
WHY THIS PICK
NYG is our early forecast in WAS @ NYG (Week 10, 2026). The model assigns 58.4% confidence and projects NYG by 0.3. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL CONVICTION
Split. The model leans this way with less conviction.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | NYG market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
WAS
D.Samuel
WR
188.2SEASON PPR
J.Croskey-Merritt
RB
140.3SEASON PPR
Z.Ertz
TE
126.4SEASON PPR
NYG
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Washington CommandersPASSING
M.Mariota1695 yd · 10 TD · 7 INT
RUSHING
J.Croskey-Merritt805 yd · 8 TD
C.Rodriguez500 yd · 6 TD
M.Mariota297 yd · 1 TD
RECEIVING
D.Samuel72 rec · 727 yd · 5 TD
T.McLaurin38 rec · 582 yd · 3 TD
Z.Ertz50 rec · 504 yd · 4 TD
J.Lane16 rec · 225 yd · 0 TD
VS
1,695PASSyds2,272
1,602RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYG@WASW5 2026 | — | WAS | — |
| WAS@NYGW15 2025 | WAS 29, NYG 21 | WAS | W |
| NYG@WASW1 2025 | NYG 6, WAS 21 | WAS | W |
| WAS@NYGW9 2024 | WAS 27, NYG 22 | WAS | W |
| NYG@WASW2 2024 | NYG 18, WAS 21 | WAS | W |
COMMON QUESTIONSWAS vs NYG
Who is favored in Washington Commanders at New York Giants?
Our model takes New York Giants at 58% win probability. The margin models project NYG by 0.3. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Washington Commanders and New York Giants play?
Week 10 of the 2026 season, THU 8:15 PM.
Who won the last Washington Commanders vs New York Giants game?
Washington Commanders, 29-21 in Week 15 of 2025.
Which team has been better, the Washington Commanders or the New York Giants?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, New York Giants: WAS -0.137 against NYG -0.075.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
