SEA @ LV – Week 10 2026
SEA
LV
SEA
AWAY
OUR PICK
@
SUN 4:05 PM
WEEK 10 · 2026 SEASON
LV
HOME
Model confidence: SEA 83%Projected margin: -11.5
SEA
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-11.5
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
+0.150Net EPA / play-0.240
+0.033Offense EPA / play-0.215
-0.117Defense EPA / play+0.024
46.3%Offense success %37.6%
39.6%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
GAME NARRATIVE
Early forecast: SEA at 83%, backed by epa edge.
EPA EDGE
SEA generates 0.033 EPA/play on offense. LV's defense allows 0.024. That's a top-tier efficiency gap.
DRIVE EFF
SEA scores 1.7 points per drive vs 1.0 for LV. That's a substantial offensive rhythm gap.
BLOWOUT PROJ
Model projects a 11.5-point margin.
Multiple signals align in SEA's favor. One of the cleaner setups on the slate.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | SEA market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
SEA
J.Smith-Njigba
WR
359.9SEASON PPR
S.Darnold
QB
235.4SEASON PPR
K.Walker
RB
191.9SEASON PPR
LV
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Seattle SeahawksPASSING
S.Darnold4048 yd · 25 TD · 14 INT
RUSHING
K.Walker1027 yd · 5 TD
Z.Charbonnet730 yd · 12 TD
S.Darnold95 yd · 0 TD
RECEIVING
J.Smith-Njigba119 rec · 1793 yd · 10 TD
C.Kupp47 rec · 593 yd · 2 TD
A.Barner52 rec · 519 yd · 6 TD
K.Walker31 rec · 282 yd · 0 TD
VS
4,048PASSyds3,025
1,852RUSH
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| LV@SEAW12 2022 | LV 40, SEA 34 | SEA | L |
COMMON QUESTIONSSEA vs LV
Who is favored in Seattle Seahawks at Las Vegas Raiders?
Our model takes Seattle Seahawks at 83% win probability. The margin models project SEA by 11.5. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Seattle Seahawks and Las Vegas Raiders play?
Week 10 of the 2026 season, SUN 4:05 PM.
Who won the last Seattle Seahawks vs Las Vegas Raiders game?
Las Vegas Raiders, 40-34 in Week 12 of 2022.
Which team has been better, the Seattle Seahawks or the Las Vegas Raiders?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Seattle Seahawks: SEA +0.150 against LV -0.240.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
