PIT @ CIN – Week 10 2026
PIT
CIN
PIT
AWAY
OUR PICK
@
SUN 8:20 PM
WEEK 10 · 2026 SEASON
CIN
HOME
Model confidence: PIT 61%Projected margin: -1.3
PIT
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-1.3
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
+0.007Net EPA / play-0.138
+0.025Offense EPA / play-0.009
+0.018Defense EPA / play+0.130
44.0%Offense success %45.5%
43.3%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
GAME NARRATIVE
Early forecast: PIT at 61%, backed by epa edge.
EPA EDGE
PIT generates 0.025 EPA/play on offense. CIN's defense allows 0.130. That's a top-tier efficiency gap.
H2H EDGE
PIT has won 3 of the last 5 meetings against CIN.
Net-positive signal profile for PIT. This forecast updates every Wednesday as the season plays out.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | PIT market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
PIT
A.Rodgers
QB
227.1SEASON PPR
K.Gainwell
RB
221.3SEASON PPR
J.Warren
RB
217.1SEASON PPR
CIN
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Pittsburgh SteelersPASSING
A.Rodgers3322 yd · 24 TD · 7 INT
RUSHING
J.Warren958 yd · 6 TD
K.Gainwell537 yd · 5 TD
K.Johnson69 yd · 0 TD
RECEIVING
D.Metcalf59 rec · 850 yd · 6 TD
K.Gainwell73 rec · 486 yd · 3 TD
P.Freiermuth41 rec · 486 yd · 4 TD
C.Austin31 rec · 372 yd · 3 TD
VS
3,322PASSyds1,809
1,564RUSH
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN@PITW3 2026 | — | PIT | — |
| CIN@PITW11 2025 | CIN 12, PIT 34 | PIT | W |
| PIT@CINW7 2025 | PIT 31, CIN 33 | PIT | L |
| CIN@PITW18 2024 | CIN 19, PIT 17 | PIT | L |
| PIT@CINW13 2024 | PIT 44, CIN 38 | PIT | W |
COMMON QUESTIONSPIT vs CIN
Who is favored in Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals?
Our model takes Pittsburgh Steelers at 61% win probability. The margin models project PIT by 1.3. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Pittsburgh Steelers and Cincinnati Bengals play?
Week 10 of the 2026 season, SUN 8:20 PM.
Who won the last Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals game?
Pittsburgh Steelers, 12-34 in Week 11 of 2025.
Which team has been better, the Pittsburgh Steelers or the Cincinnati Bengals?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Pittsburgh Steelers: PIT +0.007 against CIN -0.138.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
