TIER CPICK: PIT
PICK LOSTATS ✓
Model confidence: PIT 50%Projected margin: 0.2
GAME NARRATIVE
PIT C-tier pick misses. CIN takes it.
MISSED
Model picked PIT but CIN won. Projected margin was 0.2 -- the model overestimated by 2.2 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 3 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 0.5 points.
COLD GAME
19°F at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
CIN
road_favorite 5-1 ATS (83%)Road Favorite 5-1 ATS (83%)
PIT
divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
INJURY REPORTWEEK 18
CIN8 LISTEDJermaine Burton
WR · Not injury related - other
OUT
Cam Taylor-Britt
CB · Ankle
QUESTIONABLE
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS