2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
WAS @ DAL – Week 18 2024
WAS
DAL
WAS
AWAY
23@19
WAS +4
FINAL · WEEK 18
2024 SEASON
DAL
HOME
TIER C
PICK: DAL
PICK LOSTATS ✓
Model confidence: DAL 60%Projected margin: 0.4
DAL
PICK SIDE
+7.0
SPREAD
0.4
PROJ MARGIN
+274
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
DAL C-tier pick misses. WAS takes it.
MISSED
Model picked DAL but WAS won. Projected margin was 0.4 -- the model overestimated by 4.4 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 5 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 3.0 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | +7.0 | DAL market line | |
| MODEL ML | +274 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | +250 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
WAS
No noteworthy trends
DAL
home_underdog 2-5 ATS (29%)Home Underdog 2-5 ATS (29%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
WAS
J.Daniels
QB
355.8SEASON PPR
T.McLaurin
WR
267.8SEASON PPR
Z.Ertz
TE
177.4SEASON PPR
DAL
C.Lamb
WR
263.4SEASON PPR
R.Dowdle
RB
197.8SEASON PPR
J.Tolbert
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 18
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAL@WASW17 2025 | DAL 30, WAS 23 | DAL | W |
| WAS@DALW7 2025 | WAS 22, DAL 44 | DAL | W |
| DAL@WASW12 2024 | DAL 34, WAS 26 | WAS | L |
| DAL@WASW18 2023 | DAL 38, WAS 10 | DAL | W |
| WAS@DALW12 2023 | WAS 10, DAL 45 | DAL | W |
WEEK 18 · OTHER GAMES