BUF @ NE – Week 18 2024

BUF S-tier pick misses. NE takes it.

Model picked BUF but NE won. Projected margin was 12.7 -- the model overestimated by 19.7 points.

The win probability swung past 50% 4 times. One of the wildest games of the week.

Missed the spread by 10.0 points.

33°F at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.

Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.