TIER BPICK: NE
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: NE 59%Projected margin: 1.4
GAME NARRATIVE
NE B-tier pick misses. BUF takes it.
MISSED
Model picked NE but BUF won. Projected margin was 1.4 -- the model overestimated by 5.4 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 3 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
BAD BEAT
Missed the spread by just 1.5 points -- a bad-beat loss.
COLD GAME
32°F at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
BUF
Cold Weather 3-2 ATS (60%)
NE
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
INJURY REPORTWEEK 15
BUF3 LISTEDChristian Benford
CB · Toe
QUESTIONABLE
NE2 LISTEDTerrell Jennings
RB · Concussion
OUT
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS