2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
CLE @ CHI – Week 15 2025
CLE
CHI
CLE
AWAY
3@31
CHI +28
FINAL · WEEK 15
2025 SEASON
CHI
HOME
TIER S
PICK: CHI
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: CHI 81%Projected margin: 10.5
CHI
PICK SIDE
-7.5
SPREAD
10.5
PROJ MARGIN
-294
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
CHI S-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked CHI. Projected margin: 10.5. Actual: 28. Off by 17.5 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 20.5 points.
COLD GAME
8°F at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.
Another data point for the model. S-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -7.5 | CHI market line | |
| MODEL ML | -294 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | — | Won · +$0.34 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
CLE
Home Underdog 5-2 ATS (71%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
CHI
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
8°F
WIND
6 MPH
COLD GAME
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
CLE
H.Fannin
TE
186.4SEASON PPR
Q.Judkins
RB
169.8SEASON PPR
J.Jeudy
WR
120.7SEASON PPR
CHI
C.Williams
QB
318.2SEASON PPR
D.Swift
RB
228.6SEASON PPR
D.Moore
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 15
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CHI@CLEW15 2023 | CHI 17, CLE 20 | CLE | W |
| CHI@CLEW3 2021 | CHI 6, CLE 26 | CLE | W |
WEEK 15 · OTHER GAMES