2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
IND @ SEA – Week 15 2025
IND
SEA
IND
AWAY
16@18
SEA +2
FINAL · WEEK 15
2025 SEASON
SEA
HOME
TIER A+
PICK: SEA
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: SEA 73%Projected margin: 7.1
SEA
PICK SIDE
-13.5
SPREAD
7.1
PROJ MARGIN
-698
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
SEA A+-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked SEA. Projected margin: 7.1. Actual: 2. Off by 5.1 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 8 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 11.5 points.
Another data point for the model. A+-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -13.5 | SEA market line | |
| MODEL ML | -698 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | — | Won · +$0.14 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
IND
No noteworthy trends
SEA
Road Favorite 6-1 ATS (86%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
51°F
WIND
9 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
IND
J.Taylor
RB
362.3SEASON PPR
D.Jones
QB
226.4SEASON PPR
M.Pittman
WR
202.4SEASON PPR
SEA
J.Smith-Njigba
WR
359.9SEASON PPR
S.Darnold
QB
235.4SEASON PPR
K.Walker
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 15
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEA@INDW1 2021 | SEA 28, IND 16 | IND | L |
WEEK 15 · OTHER GAMES